(CNN)President Donald Trump heads into the debate trailing former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump is the first incumbent to be losing in the polls at this point since George H.W. Bush in 1992.
Trump's obvious goal for the debate is to try and win back some of the White voters without a college degree that he's clearly lost since 2016. In doing so, he might be able to stop Biden's easiest paths to taking back the White House for the Democrats.
Take a look at the live interview national polls taken since the conventions that meet CNN standards for reporting. We're talking about nine polls in total from eight pollsters, so it's a large sample.
Trump is winning by about 21 points among Whites without a college degree in an average of those polls. That may seem like a lot, but remember that Trump led among this group by about 30 points in the final pre-election polls in 2016.
Keep in mind, we're making an apples-to-apples comparison here. Even if the polls are off by a similar margin as they were in 2016, this exercise takes that into account. There's real movement going on here among Whites without a college degree.
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